Arriving at Startup valuation is an art, more than
science. Get to know more here
India is witnessing immense activity in the start-up ecosystem.
Buzz is no longer confined to Bangalore or amongst the college pass-outs. Many
professionals – men and women, fresh graduates, US returned Non-Resident
Indians, and domain experts are joining hands with fellow colleagues and
launching their own venture – giving them freedom of expression and sense of
fulfillment.
It
is often a daunting task for startups to determine their fair market value.
This is because there are no standard metrics that define appropriate
valuations for a startup, or any other type of company. The best approach will
vary, company to company, depending on a number of factors.
Each of these ventures needs funding, at angel, seed, growth or
late stage. Three important questions come to any entrepreneur's mind. One,
which is the optimum stage any venture should seek funding at? Two, what is the ideal valuation and third,
what percentage of equity can be offloaded to investors?
This subject, as important as it is, has been written
exhaustively and widely. Still the right answer eludes everyone. It is akin to
a price at which you sold your shares in a listed company and still feels you
sold it cheaply. There is no right price. However, I will share some
established and informal models doing the round.
Source- The best guide on how to value a startup
tms-outsource.com
Valuation of a Startup: what does it mean?
What exactly should you do when working on a valuation of a
startup? Should you have an expert prepare a proforma balance sheet, or prepare
a cash flow statement for your company?
Valuing a startup company is one of the most difficult tasks in
business and finance. You can find many expert opinions online but none can
tell you exactly what your business is worth. Here are some ways to generate
some ideas in order to arrive at a reasonable value for your business.
Startup valuation methodologies are especially
essential since they are generally applied to startups that are still in the
pre-revenue stage. A mature publicly-traded company, as opposed to an
early-stage startup, will have more actual facts and numbers to work on.
Key factors for consideration in valuation
of unlisted companies are
- Idea– Demand, Scalability, Ip
Protection, Entry Barriers To Competition
- Team– Education, Experience,
Complimentary Skills, Values, Maturity, Vision And Passion
- Product Stage– Idea, Development,
Pilot, Traction, Launch, Growth
- Finance Stage – Own Money, Family
& Friends, Individual Angel, Established Angel, Seed Fund, Growth Fund,
Late Stage
- Sales Figures, If Available (For
Sales Multiple)
- Debt In The Venture
Some of the established methods include discounted cash-flow
(DCF) model, cost-to-recreate model, and market-multiple-model. However,
market-multiple models work when sales or comparative data is available from
another company.
Source- learn.marsdd.com
One friend of mine, who quit his plum job and jumped into
setting up a new venture in healthcare, has an interesting and simple valuation
method to tell. He pegged the valuation at Rs 6 crore, considering 2 Cr for his
IIM-A educational background, 1 Cr for having set up his company, 1 Cr for
putting in his 15% investment into the venture, 1 Cr for having developed the
product (yet to launch) and 1 Cr for initiating contractual agreement with some
20 partner-vendors in South Delhi. Based on this, he has roped in 8-10
investors, giving less than 10% equity to them collectively.
Nathan Beckford, founder of Venture
Archetypes and Mahesh Murthy, who funded 50 plus startups, offered
stage-of-development as a proxy to the kind of investment a venture can
command, and thereby arriving at the valuation and then applying any
adjustments. Here is what they have to say, simplistically speaking.
Stage
|
Investors
|
Funding Amount
|
Equity Offered
|
“Post” Valuation
|
Concept / Business Pl
an
|
Self or Friends and Family
|
Rs 5 to 25 Lakhs
|
1% to 10%
|
Rs 50 to 200 Lakhs
|
Technology Developed
|
Angels, Seed VC like Blume,
Venture Nursery, Mumbai Angels, IAN, Kae etc
|
Rs 20 to 300 Lakhs
|
10% to 20%
|
Rs 2 to 15 Cr
|
Launch / Early Consumer Traction
|
Seed VC, Series A VC like
Seedfund etc
|
Rs 2 to 25 Cr
|
25% to 33%
|
Rs 8 to 75 Cr
|
Scaling and Adoptation
(Cash flow negative)
|
Series A, B, C VC like
Nexus, Sequoia etc
|
Rs 5 to 50 Cr
|
25% to 40%
|
Rs 20 to 200 Cr
|
Rapid Mass Expansion
(Cash flow positive)
|
Late Stage funds like Matrix etc
|
Rs 50 to 200 Cr
|
25% to 40%
|
Rs 200 to 800 Cr
|
Another interesting model of valuation variation has been
exhibited by https://angel.co/valuations in which difference in
valuation has nothing to do with many of the venture stages discussed above. It
has a data basis college (Stanford, Berkeley, Harvard, Mumbai university etc),
incubator reputation, past employers of founding members, location (Silicon
valley, Bangalore, Mumbai, New York City, Western Europe etc) and markets these
startup cater to (Big data, harware, mobile commerce etc).
These methods do not matter in the later stages of funding.
Simple calculation goes, how much money is needed by the venture, for equity
that it is willing to offer. For example, if $ 600 million is needed in stage X
and equity that venture is willing to offer is 2%, valuation becomes $30
billion. All the earlier investors should be notionally making money at this
price.
Clearly startup valuation
is an art, not a science. Grey area lies in the valuation of the non-tangibles.
Individual perception and hype both contribute, to help inflate the valuation,
to exit on a “high”.
Conclusion
A startup valuation
is the market value of a startup based on many parameters. Valuing your startup
is a process that every entrepreneur must go through while seeking funds or
looking for a technical cofounder, a business cofounder, or any partner or
shareholder. It aids in establishing the appropriate amount of stock that
startups must provide to an investor in return for funding. Not only are money
crucial, but so is the timing of funds. If you take too long to get funded, you
will most likely be greeted by more market competition.